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Closing summary on December 12th, 2024 and stock market forecast for tomorrow.-plate rotation expectation: the strong performance of today's big consumer plate is expected to continue tomorrow. With the arrival of the peak consumption season at the end of the year, the performance of consumer stocks is expected to be improved, thus attracting more capital attention. At the same time, the active concept of state-owned enterprise reform in Shanghai may also drive the relevant sectors to follow suit. For the insurance, banking and other sectors that fell today, it is expected that there will be a certain repair market tomorrow, but the overall increase may be limited.-Market trend: Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,461.50 yuan, up 29.01 yuan or 0.85% from the previous trading day. The market showed a trend of shock and rebound, with relatively stable fluctuations throughout the day and reduced amplitude compared with previous days.

-Other markets: domestic commodity futures closed in early trading, and most of the main contracts rose, with fuel oil, low-sulfur fuel oil and Shanghai nickel among the top gainers, while European container freight and live pigs fell.-Capital flow: judging from some stocks, capital outflow is more obvious. For example, the main capital outflow of Zhongke Information is 40.0153 million yuan, and the main capital outflow of Lu 'an Huaneng is 39.3918 million yuan.

-Market sentiment and risk: Recently, the overall market sentiment is cautious, and investors' policy expectations for the Central Economic Work Conference are still waiting to be seen. If the meeting can introduce more favorable policies, it is expected to stimulate the market's enthusiasm for doing more and promote the stock market to rise further. However, if the policy falls short of expectations, there may be some adjustment in the market. In addition, the uncertainty of the global economic situation and geopolitical risks may also cause some disturbances to the stock market.-Technical analysis: From the technical trend of the Shanghai Composite Index, today's rise makes the index return to the top of the short-term moving average, and the moving average system presents a multi-position arrangement, which provides certain technical support for the subsequent rise. However, it should be noted that the trading volume of the index has not been significantly enlarged during the rising process, indicating that the market's willingness to chase up is not strong, which may limit the rising space of the index.-Capital flow: judging from some stocks, capital outflow is more obvious. For example, the main capital outflow of Zhongke Information is 40.0153 million yuan, and the main capital outflow of Lu 'an Huaneng is 39.3918 million yuan.